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Nicholas Wyman

‘When will automation take over the trucking industry? Scientists now have an estimate’ – Mic, Online

Image: Uber-owned Otto is perfecting the technology that will let trucks drive themselves. Source: Tony Avelar/AP

There’s no shortage of studies and analysis suggesting that robots can potentially take our jobs. But exactly how far away are we from losing our livelihoods to automation?

Artificial intelligence experts with the BBC surveyed 352 scientists about automation, including some of the world’s leading experts on machine learning. According to the BBC analysis, there is a 50% chance that machines can take over all human jobs in 120 years.

But some fields are at greater risk than others.
Let’s focus on one big one: trucking.

Truck drivers may be replaced by automated technology as early as 2027. According to the researchers, artificial intelligence could be maneuvering trucks on the road within the next decade.

“All jobs are being impacted by technological change — some more than others,” said Nicholas Wyman, CEO of the Institute for Workplace Skills and Development and author of Job U: How to Find Wealth and Success by

Developing the Skills Companies Actually Need. “Driverless trucks are now used extensively in the mining industry and it’s certain this technology will impact other parts of transport and distribution.”

Estimates from the American Trucking Association suggest there are 3.5 million professional truck drivers in the United States and the industry, as a whole, employs more than 8.7 million people. According to the Los Angeles Times, 1.7 million American truckers could be replaced by self-driving trucks over the next decade.

Trucking jobs are the most common jobs in 29 out of 50 states in the U.S., and there are millions of people working for the trucking industry in non-driving positions.

It’s not such a far-fetched idea, as progress is being made in automating truck driving. Take self-driving truck company Otto, which was created by former Google employees and acquired by Uber last August. The company’s system lets trucks drive for long stretches of time without needing a human driver. The technology was successfully tested in Colorado in October when a self-driving truck delivered 50,000 cans of Budweiser.

If perfected, autonomous trucks could offer heightened efficiency and safer roads; one in seven fatal truck accidents is caused by driver fatigue. For those currently in the trucking industry, it’s not all bad news. How much of a threat self-driving trucks pose to drivers depend on the level of automation: if drivers are still required to be in trucks, then jobs are secure, MIT Technology Review reports.

Wyman says truck drivers need to be open to adapting to the changing landscape of their field. “They need to embrace change — it’s happening so hoping it will go away is not an option,” Wyman said. “Truck drivers should look for opportunities to refresh and reboot their current skill sets.”

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https://m.mic.com/articles/180310/when-will-automation-take-over-the-trucking-industry-scientists-now-have-an-estimate#.wEFiIXVUA

Filed Under: Articles

‘This New Trump Plan Could Be the Answer to Millennial Job Woes’ – Fortune Magazine, Online

Source: Fortune Magazine – http://fortune.com/2017/06/18/donald-trump-apprenticeships-programs-executive-order-millennials-news/

President Donald Trump signs an executive order on apprenticeships. NICHOLAS KAMM/AFP/Getty Images

On Thursday, President Donald Trump signed an executive order to substantially increase the number of U.S. apprenticeships from the current 500,000 (minuscule for the size of the economy) by doubling the amount the government spends on apprenticeship programs.

Trump’s emphasis on this plan is cause for optimism that he will significantly improve the number and quality of apprenticeships in the economy.

Trump’s plan will be a boon to employers. First, they will have a strong role in its composition through a task force that Trump announced. Successful apprenticeship programs work best when designed by employers around their own needs. The plan intends to reduce red tape and overly rigid requirements for administering apprenticeship programs. It also encourages broad-based industry standards for apprenticeships. Employers will undoubtedly respond positively to these changes, and it will encourage them to embrace apprenticeships.

The new initiative also seeks to massively increase the number of apprenticeships in the economy. In March, Salesforce CEO Marc Benioff called on Trump to “take a moonshot goal at creating 5 million apprenticeships in the next five years.” Trump agreed, stating “Let’s do that, let’s go for that 5 million.” The plan that Trump announced sets no such targets. But if Trump follows the commitment he made to Benioff, the goal will be ambitious, yet achievable.

On a per capita basis, 5 million apprenticeships would bring the U.S. in line with the low unemployment levels and strong manufacturing sectors in countries like Germany and Switzerland. Despite paying their workers high wages, these countries achieve their economic strength by prioritizing apprenticeships and other education models that integrate classroom learning with on-the-job training.

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The Trump administration’s plan comes on the heels of newly released data indicating 6 million U.S. job vacancies, at a time when 6.9 million are unemployed. According to companies I’ve spoken to, the principal cause of job vacancies is their inability to find people with job-ready skills. The situation in U.S. manufacturing is particularly troublesome. According to the Manufacturing Institute, 3.4 million manufacturing jobs are expected to become available over the next 10 years, yet 2 million of those jobs may be unfilled if America stays on its current course.

One reason for this supply and demand imbalance in manufacturing and elsewhere is that too many job seekers, including college graduates, are leaving school without marketable skills or any practical work experience. The automation of traditional “knowledge jobs” will only exaggerate this gap. In an apprenticeship, participants are earning and learning both on and off the job. This differs from many other employment-related programs and purely classroom-based education.

In most cases, skills that could bridge the gap are of the “middle” type. This means high-school plus: nurses, medical technicians, welders, electricians, machinists, robotics programmers, plumbers, computer technicians, and dozens more. These people enjoy above-average incomes and job security. Many out-earn their peers with four-year college degrees.

The most cost-effective way to obtain such highly sought after middle skills is through a company-sponsored apprenticeship. This typically three- or four-year endeavor allows the apprentice to acquire new skills under the watchful eyes of a trained mentor. One or two days each week are dedicated to classwork at a local community college or technical school, but no college debt is accrued. Better still, apprentices earn while they learn, and most (90%) are gainfully employed by the conclusion of their apprenticeship. How many four-year college students can say the same?

Apprenticeships are sound business investments. A recent Canadian study of over 1,000 employers across more than a dozen different fields found a net return of 47 cents for every dollar invested in apprenticeship training. Even government is a winner when it supports apprenticeships. Every $1 government invests in apprenticeships generates $27 in economic growth.

This new program comes at a perfect time; modern apprenticeships are gaining steam in the U.S. For Trump’s initiative to be consistently effective across the board, however, his administration will need to create a national custodian to ensure user-friendly norms are established and businesses are held accountable for high-impact apprenticeship outcomes. The program has the potential to meet the escalating demand for job-ready candidates in all kinds of industries and enable millions of families to achieve economic security.

Nicholas Wyman is author of Job U: How to Find Wealth and Success By Developing the Skills Companies Actually Need and CEO of the Institute for Workplace Skills and Innovation.

Filed Under: Articles

‘The Power of Modern Apprenticeship’ – Forbes, Level Up Webinar

Skills expert Nicholas Wyman speaks with Forbes Social media Editor Kim Horner in the first webinar event of a series called  ‘Level Up’

Nicholas Wyman is a workforce development and skills expert, author, speaker and CEO of the Institute for Workplace Skills and Innovation. Nicholas is a leader in developing skills-building, mentorship and apprenticeship programs that close the gap between education and careers around the world.  A third-generation writer, Nicholas began his own career by learning a trade.

This event is presented by Level Up by Forbes.

To view in full, please register here.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5h_wSSM-Ds0

 

Filed Under: Webinar

‘How To Earn Six Figures Without A Four-Year Degree’ – 1A, Online

Source: http://the1a.org/shows/2017-06-12/how-to-earn-six-figures-without-a-four-year-degree

By 2025, two million jobs will be unfilled because U.S. companies won’t be able to find the skilled labor they need.
Many of these jobs provide a middle-class salary — some pay six figures annually — and don’t require a four-year-degree.

How to get one of these jobs? Apprenticeships. This age-old practice with origins in medieval times is now gaining traction again in the United States. Economists and corporate leaders say apprenticeships can lead to interesting and stable careers, ranging from robotics and mechanical design to medical sciences and even high-end gourmet cuisine — all without college debt. We’ll explore how to find an apprenticeship, the pros and cons and common misunderstandings.


Image Caption: An instructor at the Siemens training center in Berlin, Germany with apprentices. In Germany, apprenticeship training is much more common than in the United States. (Photo by Adam Berry/Getty Images) misunderstandings.

What Is An Apprenticeship And How To Get One
By Nicholas Wyman, CEO, Institute for Wokplace Skills and Innovation; author of “Job U: How To Find Wealth And Success By Developing The Skills Companies Actually Need”
How does an apprenticeship typically work?
An apprenticeship is a structured accreditation program that provides participants with the building blocks to master a specific occupational area and learn hands-on skills under the direct supervision of a skilled expert.  It is important to note that because apprenticeships are a nascent industry in the United States, they are often confused with internships. In fact, at present, the line is very fine between the two. Briefly, internships are generally short-term; involve little or no pay; and are inconsistent across the board concerning rigor, degree of responsibility and supervision.
What types of roles and industries do you find apprenticeships in?
Today’s apprenticeship programs are becoming more sophisticated and progressive and found in a variety of modern fields from engineering and sales and marketing to computer programming and health care. Many of the knowledge-economy jobs available in the United States can be effectively learned through apprenticeship.
When should you consider taking on an apprenticeship?
Whether currently unemployed, unhappily employed, or simply wishing to experience the joys of learning a new skill through hands-on work, it’s time to seek out apprenticeship programs in your area. Apprenticeships are not just for young people. They are for people of all ages and all stages of life.

 

Where do you find an apprenticeship?
Although the formal apprenticeship concept is rapidly gaining traction in the United States, no central site exists to access opportunities. However, there are several useful places to take the next step.

Source: http://the1a.org/shows/2017-06-12/how-to-earn-six-figures-without-a-four-year-degree

 

Filed Under: Articles, Radio Tagged With: ‘How To Earn Six Figures Without A Four-Year Degree’ - 1A, Online

‘3 Myths About Vocational Education You Need to Know Are Untrue’ – Newsmax Finance, Online

Do you consider vocational education a unviable alternative to university or college? You are not alone. However, you need to think again.

I would like to invite you to put aside your pre-conceived beliefs about vocational education and training (VET) and let me explain how misconceptions about VET are hurting the next generation’s chances of a meaningful future at work.

We have all heard the old adage “perception is reality,” but when it comes to VET, nothing is further from the truth.

Here’s my premise: Skills-based education gives young people the chance to get experience and gain confidence early. It can catapult them into steady jobs, a great pay packet and, more than likely, a future-proof career.

Have you ever thought or believed any of these common statements? Well, allow me to bust these myths.

Myth 1: Apprenticeships are old fashioned 

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Actually, they are. And they’re really coming into their own in major economies.

For example, in the US, after waning and being restricted to a narrow range of fields over the past few decades, apprenticeship programs are coming back in a big way. There are more than 505,000 people in the US currently enrolled as apprentices – the highest rate in eight years, and US apprenticeship programs are increasingly offering the entry key to careers in a vast array of growing fields such as IT, health care, hospitality and advanced manufacturing, to name a few.

Despite that, 8 of 10 people surveyed by the US National Association of Manufacturers said they would not encourage their own children to enter the manufacturing field.

Those same people said they view manufacturing as critical to the prosperity and security of the US (90% of those surveyed actually ranked manufacturing top of the list of important industries!).

The same ‘it’s essential work, but not for my kids’ dynamic exists in Australia. Various research shows parents overwhelming respect the importance of manufacturing as a national priority, but not when it comes to wanting their children to pursue a career in that sector. Go figure.

Meanwhile, among northern and central European countries, between 40 and 70 per cent of high-school students opt for vocational education. After completing three years of combined on-the-job and classroom learning, students graduate with a qualification that carries real weight in the labour market, and a pathway to even higher levels of education and earnings.

If you look to countries where apprenticeships are the preferred way of training young people, like in Switzerland and Germany you will see the superior economic performance, with impressively low unemployment, and youth unemployment rates. It’s no coincidence.

In Australia, government data shows 9 out of the ten occupations predicted to have the greatest jobs growth over the next five years can be entered into through vocational education and training programs. If you want to get and keep a job, it would seem VET training is your best option.

So, naturally, I was flummoxed with the results when my organization surveyed Australians on their attitudes towards VET. Three out of five Australians agreed with the statement “in a globally competitive world we need university education more than VET”. Moreover, nearly half of respondents also suggested VET is no longer as relevant as university or college. Ouch.

The reality is that two-thirds of tomorrow’s jobs will not need a four-year degree. That is the low down from Georgetown University’s Center for Education and the Workforce. (Check out my previous post, 5 Signs Skills Training Might be Right for You, to get some clarity around whether university or vocational training is the best fit for you or your kin. We will show you where the money, and a secure future, can be found.)

Myth 2: University graduates walk into top-paying jobs.

Perhaps that was the case twenty years ago, but increasingly, that is not the reality. If you talk to the average person, you would think VET graduates earn between $AUD10,000 and $AUD20,000 less annually than their uni peers. Is that what you think, too? Let’s explore that with a couple of stats.

Did you know that VET graduates have higher starting salaries than university grads, on average? The median full-time income for a VET graduate is $56,000 a year, which beats the median graduate salary for those with a bachelor’s degree of $54,000. It might be only $2,000, it is still a win for VET, as that is a lot of money for a young person starting out in their career.

In Australia, some VET graduates will start their first job on $AUD85,400. That is the average starting salary for those with a Certificate IV in Hazardous Areas – Electrical, which beats even the starting salary for a dentistry graduate, who’ll earn $80,000 a year after a 5 or 6-year program.

Myth 3: Uni grads get jobs quicker than vocational education grads.

Three in ten people we surveyed believed the main reason Australians chose university over VET is because university graduates found work more easily, but graduate employment outcome data from the Dept of Employment reveal this is another total furphy!

Did you know VET graduates who did their training as part of a trade apprenticeship scored 92% for post-program employment? Also, 78% of VET grads find work straight after graduating.

Meanwhile, only 68% of bachelor degree grads found work four months after completing their course in 2015 – down from 86% in 2008. Yet, despite employability falling to near its lowest level in three decades, and increasing tuition costs, university enrollments continue to rise – and are currently at record high levels!

Why? University has an aspirational aura of prestige, but it might not be the best route to stake out a career. We all want our kids to have a better education than we did, but ask yourself – what is the right choice for them? Are you nudging the next generation to attend university because you did or because of a belief a degree it will be an open ticket to wealth and career success?

However, in reality, there are plenty of unemployed and underemployed people who have university degrees. Think of the glut of qualified teachers who have to make do with casual shifts here and there, some for their entire career, all while waiting to land a permanent job and pay off that HECS debt.

Can we afford to be dazzled by career options involving universities or should we get real and focus on skills-based training? Research shows that completing a VET qualification means you are less likely to be unemployed in the long term. (Just being armed with Australian Certificate I or II qualification, decreases your likelihood of becoming long-term unemployed by nearly 50% in comparison to a person with no post-school education)

Australia’s unemployment rate is nudging 6%, but for youth aged 15 to 24, it is more than double that at 13.1%. It has been stuck there since February, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Overall, about 750,000 Australians are unemployed, which costs the Australian Government almost $11 billion annually in Newstart benefit payments!

However, in almost all sectors, too many jobs remain unfilled because there aren’t enough people with the practical, real-world skills that companies need. It is a phenomenon I call people without jobs, and jobs without people.

Employers are struggling to find skilled workers across the economy. In Australia, one in three vacancies for skilled trade workers go unfilled (one in three!), and that number rise to as high as 55% for jobs in construction, 59% for automotive trades and 65% and 67% for food trades and building professionals respectively.

In fact, the Australian Government’s Skills Shortages report from March this year, show over 27 ‘Traditional Trades’ are in shortage, mostly nationwide. We are talking about Mechanics, Electricians, Fitters, Plumbers, Chefs, Butchers, Hairdressers and Cabinetmakers. These are jobs not only there now, but they will also be there in 50 years, and all can be trained for via vocational programs.

Now I have laid it out for you, isn’t it time you revisited your views about university/college and sharpened your focus on skills-based training to meet the demands of our vibrant, innovative 21st-century economy?

If not for yourself, do it for your children.

(This article originally appeared on LinkedIn).

Nicholas Wyman is author of “Job U: How to Find Wealth and Success by Developing the Skills Companies Actually Need” and the CEO of the Institute for Workplace Skills and Innovation, a global enterprise committed to skills and workforce development in today and tomorrow’s workplace. He has spent the last 20 years consulting, writing, speaking and leading the conversation toward helping organizations and individuals map a pathway to a more secure and prosperous future.

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